12–13 Jun 2025
Goethe University Frankfurt
Europe/Zurich timezone

Global food prices and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa

13 Jun 2025, 09:30
30m
Goethe University Frankfurt

Goethe University Frankfurt

Parallel Session Agricultural Economics Parallel Session 2

Speaker

Barbora Sedova (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))

Description

In this paper, we study the effect of exogenous global food price changes on out-migration from agricultural and non-agricultural households in Sub-Saharan Africa due to economic reasons. We show that the effect of a locally relevant global food price increase on household out-migration depends on the initial household wealth. Higher international producer prices relax the budget constraint of poor agricultural households and facilitate migration. Unlike positive weather shocks, which mostly facilitate internal rural-urban migration, positive income shocks through rising producer prices only increase migration to neighboring African countries. We further find evidence that higher producer prices increase output conflict over the appropriation of surplus in agricultural districts, which serves as a parallel mechanism explaining the household decision to send a member as a migrant.

Keyword Agricultural Economics

Authors

Barbora Sedova (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) Dr Lars Ludolph (London School of Economics (LSE))

Presentation materials

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